Thought Leadership: One definition of leadership is the following: “Leadership means making happen what otherwise would not.” This, however, begs the question: How do leaders “make happen what otherwise would not happen”? One answer is that effective leaders use new, different, and better questions to probe the future. To this end, I like this quote [...]
Thought Leadership: To the right is a partial list of the books I’ve used to put together my course on “Foresight: Why Thinking About the World of Tomorrow is Today’s Most Important Skill”--which I am teaching this Spring semester at the College of St. Benedict’s and St. John’s University. I do not show it to [...]
Thought Leadership: In the coming age of AI, what might be one of humanity’s last remaining superpowers? In light of the news I shared last week suggesting that AI is about to become 1000-fold more powerful within 6 years, now is a good time to begin thinking about this question. One of my answers to [...]
Thought Leadership: Sometimes, we choose not to think things because they are simply too painful to think about. For example, I mentioned last week that scientists have recently found microplastics in rainwater. If these super tiny particles are in the rain, it means they are falling onto the land and being absorbed by plants and [...]
Thought Leadership: I encourage you to watch or listen to this 1-hour podcast conversation between Ezra Kelin and Benjamin Buchanan, the former top White House advisor on artificial intelligence. My main takeaway was this: Artificial general intelligence may be only 2 or 3 years away from “landing” on humanity. Folks, this is a BIG, BIG [...]
Thought Leadership: In his article, “AI Could Usher In a New Renaissance,” Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, writes that AI may soon reach a point at which it could train itself “on self-generated data through a process known as recursive self-learning.” This is true, but if AI can generate its own data and [...]
My Fellow Futurists: I am writing to all of you in the spirit of open, honest inquiry. I am deeply concerned about our collective future and feel that we, as professional futurists, thinkers, imagineers, and creators of the future, have a moral obligation and responsibility to use our respective voices and platforms on behalf of [...]
Editor’s Note: As many of you know, I have been doing a good deal of “soul” searching and reflecting this past year. As a result, my thinking is changing, morphing and, I feel, growing. To this end, I intend to add two new components to my regular “Friday Future 15” newsletter. The first is called [...]
My responsibility as a futurist is not to tell people and organizations what they want to hear but, rather, tell them what they need to hear. In this spirit, I feel compelled to share some important thoughts with you. As such, today’s newsletter will fall outside the scope of its normal format. As a [...]
In the fall of 1987, I almost washed out of the Navy’s Officer Candidate School. This is a polite way of saying I nearly flunked out. The crux of the matter was that I had a difficult time comprehending what I considered to be the dark art of celestial navigation. Passing the course required a [...]
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