Thought Leadership: In the coming age of AI, what might be one of humanity’s last remaining superpowers? In light of the news I shared last week suggesting that AI is about to become 1000-fold more powerful within 6 years, now is a good time to begin thinking about this question. One of my answers to [...]
Thought Leadership: Sometimes, we choose not to think things because they are simply too painful to think about. For example, I mentioned last week that scientists have recently found microplastics in rainwater. If these super tiny particles are in the rain, it means they are falling onto the land and being absorbed by plants and [...]
Thought Leadership: I encourage you to watch or listen to this 1-hour podcast conversation between Ezra Kelin and Benjamin Buchanan, the former top White House advisor on artificial intelligence. My main takeaway was this: Artificial general intelligence may be only 2 or 3 years away from “landing” on humanity. Folks, this is a BIG, BIG [...]
Thought Leadership: In his article, “AI Could Usher In a New Renaissance,” Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, writes that AI may soon reach a point at which it could train itself “on self-generated data through a process known as recursive self-learning.” This is true, but if AI can generate its own data and [...]
My Fellow Futurists: I am writing to all of you in the spirit of open, honest inquiry. I am deeply concerned about our collective future and feel that we, as professional futurists, thinkers, imagineers, and creators of the future, have a moral obligation and responsibility to use our respective voices and platforms on behalf of [...]
Editor’s Note: As many of you know, I have been doing a good deal of “soul” searching and reflecting this past year. As a result, my thinking is changing, morphing and, I feel, growing. To this end, I intend to add two new components to my regular “Friday Future 15” newsletter. The first is called [...]
My responsibility as a futurist is not to tell people and organizations what they want to hear but, rather, tell them what they need to hear. In this spirit, I feel compelled to share some important thoughts with you. As such, today’s newsletter will fall outside the scope of its normal format. As a [...]
In the fall of 1987, I almost washed out of the Navy’s Officer Candidate School. This is a polite way of saying I nearly flunked out. The crux of the matter was that I had a difficult time comprehending what I considered to be the dark art of celestial navigation. Passing the course required a [...]
Think: In planning circles, a "wicked problem" is defined as a problem that is difficult or impossible to solve because of incomplete, contradictory, and changing requirements which are often difficult to recognize. Our rapidly changing climate is a wicked problem. The visual to the right is only a partial picture of its complexity. This complexity does [...]
Think Fast: Folks, this is crazy: AI models went from $100 million to $5 million to $30 in a week. I particularly enjoyed this paragraph from the article: "To put this breakthrough in perspective, the telegraph reduced the time it took the Pony Express to deliver a message from St. Joseph, Missouri, to Sacramento, California, [...]
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